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PROJECT NARRATIVE
The Property
The property is located on 2123 Manchester Ave.
Cardiff, California 92007. Manchester Avenue is two short blocks east of
Hwy 101 and about half a mile west of Interstate 5, off the Birmingham
Drive exit, in the exclusive community of Cardiff. The property is
approximately 7,500 sq. ft. and is subdivided into 3 legal parcels.
There currently exists a 1,200 sq. ft. single family house which is
approximately 40 years old.
The following is its legal description:
Lots 42,43,44 in block 59 of Cardiff “A” in the
City of Encinitas, MAP No. 1334.
Project Description
The owners of the project 2123 Manchester LLC
together with the developer/builder AJ Pacific Homes LLC plans the
construction of three new, two story with basement, single family
residences. Two of the homes are attached at the garage, and one
single-family home stands alone. All three residences will have two car
garages. The homes will be approximately 2,300 sq. ft. with roof decks.
Each home will have corridor Ocean views from the second floor and
panoramic Ocean Views from the roof decks. The project has been approved
by the City of Encinitas and the approved plans for the project are
accompanied in this package.
Cardiff by the Sea
Founded in 1911 by developer J. Frank Cullen, the
community was named in honor of his wife's native Wales and many streets
have English names. A later developer, German musician Victor Kramer
added the "by-the-Sea".
The community takes pride in its "walkability" with the beach, lagoon,
restaurants, markets, post office, library, and other commercial
services in easy walking distance to each other.
Restaurant Row offers beach-side dining and a wide variety of choices,
including Mexican, Italian and California Cuisine with an emphasis on
seafood.
San Elijo State Beach Campground provides beach campsites and day-use
beach parking and lifeguard service.
Recreational areas include Glen Park, with tennis and basketball courts,
a children's play area and picnic tables. Cardiff Sports Park has
multiple baseball and soccer fields.
One surf hotspot is Cardiff Reef, located alongside Historic Highway 101
at the mouth of San Elijo Lagoon. Surf at the reef consistently breaks
both right and left attracting professional and amateur surfers from all
over Southern California and beyond year round.
Carpentier Parkway borders the downtown area and is a volunteer
community project.
Experience the unique identity of Cardiff-by-the-Sea - moderate climate,
breathtaking views, two miles of Pacific coastline to the west, the
900-acre San Elijo Lagoon Ecological Reserve to the south and
world-class surfing.
Cardiff-by-the-Sea, a community within the city of Encinitas, is located
95 miles south of Los Angeles and 25 miles north of San Diego.
Market Valuation
The owners of the project have evaluated all closed
and pending transactions as well as all current active listings in the
Cardiff area as of June 16, 2008. We have not analyzed transactions east
of Interstate 5 as it is common knowledge that homes west of Interstate
5 sell at a premium compared to homes east of Interstate 5 because of
there close proximity to the Ocean. It is a general rule that we seldom
see property for sale for less than 1 million west of the Interstate 5
for homes approximately 2,000 sq. ft. or more. A summary of these
transactions is accompanied in this package. The information provided
has been categorized into 5 sections. They are the following:
I.
No View – As the description suggests, these homes
have no view of the Ocean
II.
Homes with view similar to project – These homes are
what the owners of the project consider to be good comparables and
similar product as the proposed development.
III.
Next to Interstate 5 – These homes are west of the I-5
however, either they are real close to the Interstate that they can
see or hear the Interstate traffic.
IV.
Land Value Sale – Review of these properties suggest
that the existing structures have no value and that the purchase
contemplates some new development replacing the existing structure.
V.
Not Comparable – These properties are a different
product type than the proposed development for a variety of reasons.
Size, proximity to the Ocean, etch.
Each group – closed, active, pending listings have
been categorized using the categories above.
There have been 11 closings from the beginning of
the year 2008 until June 16, 2008. All but four closed above 500 per
square foot. Three of the homes that closed below $500 were either by
the freeway or had no views or both. One was a distressed sale as
described on the MLS listing “due to a divorce”. There were four homes
we consider to be similar to our product type and three of those
properties closed above $600 per square foot. One property closed for
$494 per square foot.
As of June 16, 2008, there were three properties
pending. All three properties had a listing price well over $500 per
square feet. It would be a very reasonable assumption that these
properties would be closing at above $500.
There are twenty-six active listings as of June 16,
2008 west of Interstate 5 in the Cardiff area. Ten of the twenty-six
listings are below $500 per square feet. Six of the ten listings below
$500 per square feet are close to the freeway or have no views or both.
One of the listings is at $491, which we would consider similar to our
project type and the remaining three are not comparable products. Of the
twenty-six listings we would consider five listings similar to our
proposed development and four of the five are priced well above $500 per
square feet. One, as discussed previously is priced at $491 per square
foot.
As of June 16th there currently is a 6 –
9 month inventory in Cardiff, which is below the national averages, as
well as the averages for California. If we were to take only the homes
we consider similar to our proposed development, we would have a six
month inventory on the Cardiff area. Again below the National and
California averages.
When we purchased the property back in early 2007,
a similar analysis was performed and there has not been any significant
price decline. This supports the common perception that the drop in real
estate prices has not affected the value of beach property. The volume
may have decreased but the values have been relatively stable.
In conclusion, there seems to be strong support for
our pro-forma pricing of $513 per square foot. This value seems to hold
steady even in today’s down real estate market.
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